Update Archives

Phillip Godzin May 22, 2026

Recent developments as of mid-May 2026 show short-term diplomatic activity around a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire (May 9-11)...

Jeremy: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026? As of April 25, 2026, Live Ukraine map. Source: https://liveuamap.com/

Jeremy Lichtman May 23, 2026

Historical patterns of prolonged conflicts rarely resolving within a specified timeframe. The status quo bias, where the...

Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st May 2026? Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration analysis based on Vortexa tanker tracking Note: 1Q25=first quarter of 2025.

Phillip Godzin May 22, 2026

LNG exporters and buyers have rerouted cargoes away from the Persian Gulf, with Qatari and UAE‑linked exports...

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st May 2026? Ship traffic avoiding the Strait of Hormuz, March 12, 2026. Source: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:56.8/centery:26.3/

Jeremy Lichtman May 22, 2026

The Strait of Hormuz is not expected to fully reopen until the second half of 2026,...

Phillip Godzin May 20, 2026

NASA's broader commercial station program anticipates Phase 2 awards in early 2026 that could fund crewed demonstrations,...

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027? Four crew members will embark on a two-week journey to Haven-1 aboard a SpaceX Dragon spacecraft. The mission will include opportunities to conduct advanced science, research, development, and in-space manufacturing.

Jeremy Lichtman May 20, 2026

Multiple analyses converge on the conclusion that the likelihood of a new space habitat being visited by...

Phillip Godzin May 20, 2026

Ongoing Iran-related disruptions and Hormuz risk premiums dominate sentiment, supporting elevated prices into mid-2026. Bearish voices (e.g.,...

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027? With Artemis missions, we are exploring the Moon for scientific discovery, technology advancement, and to learn how to live and work on another world as we prepare for human missions to Mars. Source: NASA

Phillip Godzin May 18, 2026

Artemis III has been redefined as a crewed low‑Earth‑orbit test mission targeted for late 2027 that will...

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st May 2026? Gulf of Hormuz. Source: The Robert Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the University of Texas at Austin, https://www.strausscenter.org/strait-of-hormuz-geography/

Jeremy Lichtman May 15, 2026

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to all LNG traffic by May 31, 2026, is unlikely...

Phil: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st May 2026? Data source: U.S. Energy Information Administration analysis based on Vortexa tanker tracking Note: 1Q25=first quarter of 2025.