Update Archives

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027? With Artemis missions, we are exploring the Moon for scientific discovery, technology advancement, and to learn how to live and work on another world as we prepare for human missions to Mars. Source: NASA

With Artemis missions, we are exploring the Moon for scientific discovery, technology advancement, and to learn how to live and work on another world as we prepare for human missions to Mars. Source: NASA

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Phillip Godzin April 14, 2026

The Artemis III mission has been redefined (announced February 2026) as a low-Earth orbit demonstration of rendezvous...

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027? Haven-1, under construction. Source: https://www.vastspace.com/

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027?

Jeremy Lichtman April 8, 2026

The likelihood of humans visiting a new space habitat by the end of 2027 hinges on several...

Phil: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026? Source, Zbynek Burival: Download free, beautiful high-quality photos curated by Zbynek, https://burivalphotography.com

Source, Zbynek Burival: Download free, beautiful high-quality photos curated by Zbynek, https://burivalphotography.com

Phil: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

EditorialTeam April 7, 2026

As of March 24, 2026, Brent Crude is trading at $103.61 per barrel – more than double...

Jeremy: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026? Old postcard of a West Texas oilfield.

Jeremy: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman April 7, 2026

The consensus among the AIs is that it is highly unlikely for Brent crude oil prices to...

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027? The Orion spacecraft photo of itself with the moon in the distance. This will be used in the Artemis III docking experiment and Artemis IV lunar landing return to Earth.

The Orion spacecraft photo of itself with the moon in the distance. This will be used in the Artemis III docking experiment and Artemis IV lunar landing return to Earth.

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Phillip Godzin April 7, 2026

Historical Artemis delays (e.g., Artemis II from 2025 to 2026) persist due to SLS/Orion issues and lander...

Phil: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026? Data for this map is taken from the Ukrainian OSINT DeepState project, a live map of Russian and Ukrainian military operations maintained since April 2022. Source: https://www.crisisgroup.org/visual-explainers/ukraine-war-map-tracking-frontlines

Data for this map is taken from the Ukrainian OSINT DeepState project, a live map of Russian and Ukrainian military operations maintained since April 2022. Source: https://www.crisisgroup.org/visual-explainers/ukraine-war-map-tracking-frontlines

Phil: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

Phillip Godzin April 6, 2026

Irreconcilable core demands: Russia demands recognition of annexed territories (Crimea and portions of Donbas), Ukrainian neutrality, and...

Jeremy: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026? Russia/Ukraine War control of territory as of Feb. 7, 2026

Jeremy: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman April 6, 2026

The consensus among the AI analyses suggests that the probability of a ceasefire or armistice occurring in...

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before May 2026? Strait of Hormuz satellite photo. Source: NASA

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before May 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman April 3, 2026

The Strait of Hormuz closure represents a critical geopolitical and economic issue due to its importance in...

Phil: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027? Haven-1, under construction. Source: https://www.vastspace.com/

Phil: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027?

Phillip Godzin April 1, 2026

Haven-1 (Vast): by far the main path to Yes... it is smaller/simpler than a full successor station,...

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027? Stanford Torus. Source: Beyond Earth https://www.beyondearth.gg/documentation/space_habitats

Stanford Torus. Source: Beyond Earth https://www.beyondearth.gg/documentation/space_habitats

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027?

Jeremy Lichtman April 1, 2026

The reasoning across the AIs reflects a consensus that the probability of humans visiting a new space...

Update

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027?

Phil: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Jeremy: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Phil: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

Jeremy: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before May 2026?

Phil: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027?

Jeremy: Will any new space habitat be visited by humans before the end of 2027?

You may have missed

Phil: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Jeremy: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Jeremy: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?