October 19, 2026

Phillip Godzin

Phil: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026? The tanker El Gaia sits off Oman with smoke and flames visible near the stern following an onboard fire. Photo: Oman Maritime Security Center. Oman Says ‘El Gaia’ Being Towed to Port; Two Crew Missing. Mike Schuler. Source: https://gcaptain.com/oman-says-el-gaia-being-towed-to-port-two-crew-missing/
7 minutes read

Phil: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

Phillip Godzin September 17, 2026 758
Current conditions are extremely far from the resolution threshold. As of mid-September 2026, gCaptain reports single-digit daily...
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Phil: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026? Editorial team's screen shot of this Aljazeera video: What could stop the Houthis' advance across Yemen? | Inside Story. Yemen’s Houthis say Saudi Arabia launched dozens of air attacks as the prime minister of Yemen’s internationally recognised government accuses the group of killing and displacing civilians during its rapid advance.
7 minutes read

Phil: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Phillip Godzin September 15, 2026 386
Current Price (as of September 15, 2026): trading around $105–107 per barrel (Trading Economics CFD 105.25; other...
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Jeremy: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Jeremy Lichtman October 19, 2026 60
The critical-path risk is still the commercial lander test article. Both providers have schedule issues: SpaceX’s HLS work is reported behind, and Blue Origin suffered a significant New Glenn pad explosion and is still rebuilding toward return-to-flight.
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Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

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A handout picture made available by The Romanian Agency for Saving Human Life at Sea (ARSVOM) shows “Wine trader” ship in the territorial waters of Romania near Sulina, on October 15, 2026. Romanian President Nicusor Dan said drone attacks on vessels in the Black Sea were “unacceptable” and must stop, after two ships were struck off the country’s coast, spillover from Russia’s war with Ukraine. Source: https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/87288
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Phil: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

Phillip Godzin October 16, 2026 59
Image: The GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb. The MOAB is also called “The Mother of all Bombs” by scientists and the community alike. Source: https://www.war.gov/Multimedia/Photos/igphoto/2001732840/, an official website of the United States Government.
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Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

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