October 19, 2026

Geopolitical Events

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st July 2026? Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77) is deployed to the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations to support maritime security and stability in the Middle East. (CENTCOM)
6 minutes read

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st July 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman July 16, 2026 198
Reopening the strait will not immediately stabilize global energy markets due to technical, operational, and geopolitical challenges,...
Read More Read more about Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st July 2026?
Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st July 2026? The strategically important shipping route of the Strait of Hormuz is pictured separating the nations of the United Arab Emirates and Iran. It also separates the main water bodies of the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman.
6 minutes read

Jeremy: Will the Strait of Hormuz reopen to all LNG traffic before 31st July 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman July 2, 2026 123
Obtaining outside data.Checking internet sources, using keywords: Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic reopeningNews from various sources: The...
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Photo: A commercial lander that will be at the forefront of NASA’s efforts to establish a Moon Base, humanity’s first lunar outpost, has passed a series of critical tests at the agency’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Southern California. The tests simulated the extreme temperatures and vacuum of space, as well as the intense shaking and ear-splitting roar of launch. Results show that Voyager Technologies’ Griffin Mission One (Griffin-1) spacecraft is ready to survive the rigors of space exploration. Source: https://www.nasa.gov/missions/moon-base/nasa-jpl-testing-readies-voyager-technologies-lander-for-moon-mission/
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Jeremy: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Jeremy Lichtman October 19, 2026 70
The critical-path risk is still the commercial lander test article. Both providers have schedule issues: SpaceX’s HLS work is reported behind, and Blue Origin suffered a significant New Glenn pad explosion and is still rebuilding toward return-to-flight.
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Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

Phillip Godzin October 19, 2026 60
A handout picture made available by The Romanian Agency for Saving Human Life at Sea (ARSVOM) shows “Wine trader” ship in the territorial waters of Romania near Sulina, on October 15, 2026. Romanian President Nicusor Dan said drone attacks on vessels in the Black Sea were “unacceptable” and must stop, after two ships were struck off the country’s coast, spillover from Russia’s war with Ukraine. Source: https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/87288
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Phil: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

Phillip Godzin October 16, 2026 61
Image: The GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast bomb. The MOAB is also called “The Mother of all Bombs” by scientists and the community alike. Source: https://www.war.gov/Multimedia/Photos/igphoto/2001732840/, an official website of the United States Government.
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Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman October 15, 2026 91