October 19, 2026

Geopolitical Events

Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026? LNG Tanker at the North Field, which lies north-east off the Qatar peninsula, is the biggest natural gasfield in the world. Image Via Qatargas. Source: https://gcaptain.com/first-qatar-lng-shipment-moves-through-hormuz-since-war-started/
5 minutes read

Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman September 10, 2026 326
Despite some diplomatic efforts and isolated successful ship transits, the overall picture remains one of disruption, with...
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Jeremy: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026? Iran releases new map outlining areas in Hormuz under its control. IRGC's map comes amid ongoing tensions with US on Strait of Hormuz. Serdar Dincel, 04 May 2026. Source: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/iran-releases-new-map-outlining-areas-in-hormuz-under-its-control/3926454
6 minutes read

Jeremy: Will the price of Brent Crude fall below $50 per barrel in 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman September 8, 2026 203
Geopolitical tensions, particularly the Iran-U.S. conflict, have significantly affected oil prices, with the Strait of Hormuz's restricted...
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Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026? A U.S. Air Force F-16 Fighting Falcon aircraft receives fuel from the boom of a U.S. Air Force KC-135 Stratotanker aircraft in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility June 30, 2026. (U.S. Air Force photo by Tech Sgt Tiffany A. Emery) Source: https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/IMAGERY/igphoto/2003960568/
5 minutes read

Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

Jeremy Lichtman September 3, 2026 166
Geopolitical volatility, such as potential escalations in US-Iran or Israeli-Iranian relations, remains a significant uncertainty. Conditional risks...
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Phil: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026? USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77) Conducts Night Flight Operations. A U.S. Sailor conducts flight operations aboard Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77), July 29, 2026. George H.W. Bush is deployed to the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations to support maritime security and stability in the Middle East. (U.S. Central Command photo) Source: https://www.centcom.mil/MEDIA/IMAGERY/igphoto/2003973284/
7 minutes read

Phil: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

Phillip Godzin September 3, 2026 761
The current evidence strongly favors a No resolution. LNG traffic has been effectively absent since July, exporters...
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Jeremy: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

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Phil: Will an Artemis III orbital demonstration mission succeed by the end of 2027?

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A handout picture made available by The Romanian Agency for Saving Human Life at Sea (ARSVOM) shows “Wine trader” ship in the territorial waters of Romania near Sulina, on October 15, 2026. Romanian President Nicusor Dan said drone attacks on vessels in the Black Sea were “unacceptable” and must stop, after two ships were struck off the country’s coast, spillover from Russia’s war with Ukraine. Source: https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/87288
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Phil: Will a ceasefire or armistice be declared in Ukraine in 2026?

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Jeremy: Will Strait of Hormuz LNG traffic become de facto unimpeded by the end of 2026?

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