Carolyn Meinel

Meinel was a superforecaster (top 2%) in IARPA’s Good Judgment Project and third most accurate out of a cohort of 2805 competitors. # 1 upvotes, Seventh highest ranked forecaster, 2024 forecasting season, RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). #1 upvotes, third highest ranked forecaster, 2023 at INFER (predecessor organization to RFI) Sixth highest ranked forecaster, 2022 at INFER Member, Team Ckar, fourth place in IARPA’s Geopolitical Forecasting Competition II. Her advice on how to grow from a weak forecaster to one of the best. Top Ten, best COVID-19 forecasts, GJP 2.0 competition Existential Risks Persuasion Tournament. Are we all doomed? When? Meinel says it depends .