David Isenberg’s AI News Briefs, from “Army creates new AI-focused career field for officers,” through the dark humor...
Carolyn Meinel
Meinel was a superforecaster (top 2%) in IARPA’s Good Judgment Project and third most accurate out of a cohort of 2805 competitors.
# 1 upvotes, Seventh highest ranked forecaster, 2024 forecasting season, RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI).
#1 upvotes, third highest ranked forecaster, 2023 at INFER (predecessor organization to RFI)
Sixth highest ranked forecaster, 2022 at INFER
Member, Team Ckar, fourth place in IARPA’s Geopolitical Forecasting Competition II.
Her advice on how to grow from a weak forecaster to one of the best.
Top Ten, best COVID-19 forecasts, GJP 2.0 competition
Existential Risks Persuasion Tournament. Are we all doomed? When? Meinel says it depends .
Phillip Godzin’s pgodzinai predicts today: Less than 1000: 1%Between 1,000 and 3,000: 2%Between 3,000 and 5,000: 5%Between...
May 14, 2024, we published Jeremy Lichtman’s “Georgia Protests Could Escalate.” All his specific forecasts have been...
Today the African Union announced that it plans mediation soon between Sudan’s army and the Rapid...
Photo courtesy Ambebi. By Jeremy Lichtman The Georgian parliament has passed its third reading of a controversial...
By Jeremy Lichtman — 2 min read We’ve published several stories lately on recent events across several...
Mikhail Bogdanov, the Special Representative of the Russian President for the Middle East and Africa and Deputy...
Internet startup BestWorld rolled out a new, robust web portal May 2. The new site features in...
There are at least 1 million Sudanese refugees currently in Chad. Chad has frequently played host to...
